No conspiracy theory sounds too far-fetched for anyone to believe.
A widespread representative in the ranks of untenable theories: The new coronavirus could be a master plan or an instruction manual “ for everything that is currently going on ”. well-known conspiracy theorist speculates in a column for “ Wall Street Online .”

Schrang reports in his column that “explosive documents were sent to him” that so explosive that they can even be viewed publicly on the Bundestag website .
“Please look specifically from page 55.
It can be scary how the current scenario is described there almost 1:1...
spread, process, duration, mortality, etc... What is particularly macabre is that the coronavirus is explicitly mentioned.”
He then gives a few examples to point out supposed similarities between the document and the current situation. Of course, reference is then made to his own newsletter so that you can find out “ what the mainstream is keeping quiet about ”.
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Looking for the similarities
As already written above, the document can be found publicly on the Bundestag website, and the columnist has even kindly linked to it. So let's take a look at the document entitled " Civil Protection Risk Analysis Report 2012 "!
What is Appendix 4 about?
Starting on page 55 you can find appendix 4 with the title “Risk analysis of federal civil protection – pandemic caused by the “Modi-SARS” virus”.
But we shouldn't just read an appendix without first finding out what it's about. This information can be found on page 5 of the document, under 2.3. There it says (excerpts):
The scenario describes an extraordinary epidemic event based on the spread of a new pathogen. The pathogen “Modi-SARS” was used as a basis for this, although hypothetical but with realistic properties. The choice of a SARS-like virus was based, among other things, on the fact that the natural variant in 2003 quickly pushed very different health systems to their limits. The past has already shown that pathogens with novel properties that trigger a serious epidemic event can suddenly emerge (e.g. SARS coronavirus (CoV), H5N1 influenza virus, chikungunya virus, HIV). Using simplified assumptions, the hypothetical course of a pandemic in Germany was modeled for this Modi-SARS virus, which is both federally relevant and plausible.
This is a hypothetical scenario based on previous epidemics, which is why the fictional virus was given the name “Modi-SARS”.
Scenario : “ The hypothetical Modi-SARS virus is identical to the natural SARS-CoV in almost all properties. “
Reality : The new coronavirus is called SARS-CoV-2 and has similar properties, but also differs in many ways.
Scenario : “ The incubation period, i.e. the time from the transmission of the virus to a person until the first symptoms of the disease, is usually three to five days, but can range from two to 14 days. “
Reality : The incubation period is on average five to six days, range is 1 to 14 days.
Scenario : “ Almost all infected people also become ill. “
Reality : There are no reliable figures yet because the actual number of infected people and the actual number of cases are unknown; serological surveys would be necessary. A first, small study from Japan gives a value of 58%.
Scenario : “ The symptoms are fever and dry cough, the majority of patients have shortness of breath, changes in the lungs visible on x-rays, chills, nausea and muscle pain. Diarrhea, headaches, exanthema (rash), dizziness, cramps and loss of appetite can also occur. “
Reality : The course of the disease is non-specific, diverse and varies greatly, from asymptomatic courses to severe pneumonia with lung failure and death. Therefore, no general statements can be made about the “typical” course of the disease. The most common symptoms are fever and cough.
Scenario : “ The mortality rate is high at 10% of those affected, but it is different in different age groups. Children and adolescents generally have milder disease progression with a mortality rate of around 1%, while the mortality rate for people over 65 is 50%. “
Reality : The mortality rate is still very unclear, according to simple calculation it is on average 3.52% worldwide and 0.18% in Germany.
Scenario : “ When the first symptoms appear, the infected people are contagious. “
Reality : Even without symptoms, infected people are already contagious.
Scenario : “ The spread in Germany occurs via a trade fair city in northern Germany and a university city in southern Germany. “
Reality : The first infection in Germany was in the Starnberg district in Bavaria . The subsequent infections did not take place in a trade fair city in northern Germany or in a university city in southern Germany.
Scenario : “ The event begins in February in Asia, but its dimension/significance is only recognized there a few weeks later. The first identified Modi SARS case occurred in Germany in April. “
Reality : “The first infected people were in Wuhan/China in December 2019; on December 31, 2019, the WHO country office in China was informed of an increase in patients with pneumonia (pneumonia) of unknown cause. The first case occurred in Germany at the end of January 2020.
What can you conclude from this?
There are similarities but also clear differences between the scenario and reality.
Those similarities are also easy to explain, since statistical probabilities of certain factors were assumed (someone say again that statistics lie!).
For example, the distant similarities (e.g. February in the scenario, December in reality) are also statistically the most real: A virus that causes fever and cough is recognized less quickly in the winter months than in the summer months because many people simply have a cold.
So is this a “large-scale master plan” that was implemented? And then this master plan can also be found on the federal government's website, based on calculations and statistics from the Robert Koch Institute?
So did Germany expose the new coronavirus in China so that it can hopefully find its way to Germany so that the “master plan” can be implemented?
Or is this even a global master plan of all governments, which just happens to be publicly available on the federal government's website? Does anyone seriously believe that?
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Conclusion
The conclusion that the hypothetical scenario is actually a grand plan for whatever is simply untenable in many respects and is exactly what it was initially called: a conspiracy theory from a man who mainly posts on YouTube, esoteric pages and sometimes also right-wing pages.
Further sources:
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