The claim
According to the British Statistics Authority, children who have been vaccinated three times 45 times more often than unvaccinated children
Our conclusion
These numbers are taken out of context. The original source explains why they are heavily distorted. Therefore this claim is FALSE.
A direct mail item is once again unsettling with dangerous false statements about Covid vaccinations. The central claim: “Thrice vaccinated children die 45 times more often” than unvaccinated children aged 10 to 14. The publication relies on figures from the British Office for National Statistics (ONS). The Paul Ehrlich Institute and the Robert Koch Institute are accused of cover-ups and sloppiness regarding the number of side effects in Germany. But can these numbers really be true?
The figures quoted come from the ONS data collection The first four columns reflect correct statements and numbers for the 10-14 age group from the database, the last two columns cannot be found in ONS. Rather, these correspond to a layman's understanding of statistics, which could also be described as milkmaid calculation.
Using these numbers directly is problematic for several reasons. Firstly, for statistical reasons: with very small case numbers (here in the single-digit range), a change of just one case leads to huge jumps in the percentages. In addition, the data collection is unfortunately not complete, which is also due to a distant census in England and the linking of several different data sources. That sounds correspondingly complicated:
The PHDA [Public Health Data Asset] is a linked dataset that combines the 2011 Census, General Practice Extraction Service (GPES) data for COVID-19 pandemic planning and research, and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES). It combines demographic and socioeconomic factors with pre-existing conditions based on clinical records. The PHDA only covers England and contains a subset of approximately 79% of the English population aged 10 years. […] We linked this unique dataset with National Immunization Management Service (NIMS) vaccination data based on the NHS [National Health Service] number to analyze how ASMR [age-standardized mortality rates] vary by vaccination status differentiate.
Excerpt from the publication “Deaths involving COVID-19 by vaccination status, England: deaths occurring between 1 January 2021 and 31 May 2022”
Internal migration since the 2011 census distorts the PHDA numbers, as does the lack of data sets for many young unvaccinated people:
The PHDA data includes lower proportions of deaths in younger age groups due to migration since the 2011 census. The proportion of deaths of unvaccinated people included in the PHDA is lower than that of vaccinated people. This is because younger people are more likely to be unvaccinated and therefore less likely to be included in the PHDA than vaccinated, older people. The percentage of total deaths recorded in the PHDA is decreasing slightly over time as there are more deaths of people not recorded in the 2011 Census or the GP Patient Register. This decline is particularly pronounced in deaths among younger and unvaccinated people.
A further distortion arises from the fact that people from risk groups receive the vaccinations earlier than people of the same age without previous illnesses:
Non-COVID-19 rates may be affected by composition effects, e.g. B. by the fact that younger people with comorbidities [multiple diseases] are vaccinated earlier than other people in their age group. This also includes the poorer health of people who no longer get vaccinated when they are eligible.
These implications are discussed in the ONS bulletin “Deaths with COVID-19 by vaccination status as of December 2021”, which featured prominently earlier Mimikama article What is it like in Germany for this age group? What are the recommendations for booster vaccinations in children?
The booster vaccinations should preferably be carried out with an mRNA vaccine (Comirnaty® from BioNTech/Pfizer from 12 years or Spikevax® from Moderna from 30 years). Children with previous illnesses and immunodeficiency between the ages of 5 and 11 should receive a booster vaccination, preferably with Comirnaty®. According to the approval, the use of Spikevax® is also possible for children aged 6 to 11 years. Pregnant women should only receive Comirnaty®.
Current recommendation from the German Ministry of Health for risk groups
Conclusion
The numbers that the “Citizens’ Letter” uses for its warnings are worthless without context. This is exactly what happened with an older version of this hoax, which was spread blogs and social media dpa factchecking came to the following conclusion in March:
Many of the vaccinated children in the statistics cited had a previous illness. The mortality rate in risk groups is higher than the population average - regardless of vaccination. According to the statistics agency, no children or young people died in Great Britain in 2021 due to the Covid-19 vaccination.
Excerpt from the dpa fact check from March 11, 2022
More on the topic: Vaccinations do not cause excess mortality
Notes:
1) This content reflects the current state of affairs at the time of publication. The reproduction of individual images, screenshots, embeds or video sequences serves to discuss the topic. 2) Individual contributions were created through the use of machine assistance and were carefully checked by the Mimikama editorial team before publication. ( Reason )